Ginnie Mae Investing Review 2019

Ginnie Mae Investing Review 2019
Ginnie Mae Investing Review 2019

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CD rates and money market accounts currently offer dismal returns. What is an investor to do to get higher returns, yet not drastically increase risk? As I mentioned in my 4% Rule to Investing, Ginnie Maes are a good possible alternative. Who is Ginnie, and does she have anything to do with Fannie and Freddie? Ginnie Mae, otherwise known as the Government National Mortgage Association, is a U.S. government-owned corporation within the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD). Ginnie Mae provides guarantees on mortgage-backed securities (MBS) backed by federally insured or guaranteed loans, mainly loans issued by the Federal Housing Administration, Department of Veterans Affairs, Rural Housing Service, and Office of Public and Indian Housing. Ginnie Mae securities are the only MBS that are guaranteed by the United States government. Ginnie Mae, which extracts fees for guaranteeing mortgage investors are repaid, is a smaller and more conservative player in the mortgage market than Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac were.

Now that you know what is Ginnie Mae, lets talk about these factors:

  • What kind of returns should you expect?
  • How volatile are they (what’s their beta)?
  • What risks do you have when investing?
  • How can you invest in them?

Ginnie Mae Investing Returns

Ginnie Mae Investing Returns
Ginnie Mae Investing Returns

Ginnie Mae returns are outstanding when compared to other government bonds. According to Morningstar, the Vanguard GMNA Fund has gotten an average of 6.36% for the past ten years. The 1, 5, and 15 year returns also show similar returns, so its beta is very low. As the graph shows above, if you invested $10,000 in January 2000, you would have almost doubled your money. This is a perfect investment to add to your security bucket (fixed income) of assets. At the moment, I have a portion of my security bucket into a Ginnie Mae mutual fund. Ginnie Mae is generating a much better return than other government bonds, CDs and money market accounts. So you are getting a premium return compared to treasuries, yet getting the same default risk as a treasury. What’s there not to like about Ginnie Mae bonds? In my opinion, the rate spread doesn’t warrant the implied increased risk and are a good bet to place in your portfolio.

Ginnie Mae Investing Risks

As with all bonds, they can suffer interest rate risk and should always be part of your investment equation. If the FED increases interest rates, the returns on Ginnie Maes could decrease. They also can have (albeit very low) default risk from the government. The primary issue is when investing through mutual funds, because not all bond funds are alike. According to the Washington Post, some Ginnie Mae funds invested in other bonds and got burned during the 2008-2009 stock market crash. One fund lost over 5% in one year. Granted, a mutual fund named GNMA legally must invest at least 80% into Ginnie Maes, but it’s the remaining 20% that’s the killer. I always recommend using Morningstar to do your research. Find out what other securities the mutual fund invests in and at what percentage.

Investing

The minimum investment for a Ginnie Mae bond is generally $25,000. You can visit Ginnie Mae’s web site for more information. Unless you are investing $200-300k to get proper diversification, I wouldn’t even consider that option. Most people are best suited to invest via a Ginnie Mae mutual fund. The reasons are: better diversification and you don’t have to buy/sell the individual securities. In my opinion, the two best funds are from Vanguard and Fidelity:

  • Vanguard GNMA (VFIIX) – 0.23% expense ratio, $3000 minimum investment
  • Fidelity GMNA Fund (FGMNX) – 0.45% expense ratio, $2500 minimum investment

Both have a low expense ratio, consistent performance, and a low minimum deposit requirement. There are many other GMNA mutual funds available. Do your research on Morningstar for others. Currently, there isn’t a Ginnie Mae ETF and mainly because there isn’t an index to base the ETF upon. With active ETFs becoming more common, I suspect a Ginnie Mae ETF might be on the horizon.