Polymarket Brings Prediction Markets to Company Earnings, Here’s How

Polymarket, the decentralized prediction market, has recently launched a new feature for forecasting corporate earnings. The project is being rolled out in partnership with Stocktwits, a popular social platform for traders and investors. This marks another big step in Polymarket’s expansion effort into the United States.

Polymarket Brings Earnings Forecasts to U.S. Traders 

For years, Polymarket has been known for markets on politics, global events, and economic decisions. Now it is bringing that same model to company earnings. On September 15, Polymarket announced the launch of earnings prediction markets for major public companies. 

By working with Stocktwits, the prediction platform aims to connect its real-time betting odds with Stocktwits’ large trading community. Together, they offer a space where traders can not only place bets on earnings but also discuss market trends, company sentiment, and financial news.

The idea is to allow traders see what the crowd believes will happen, while also debating and analyzing company outlooks in the same place. The move comes shortly after the company received regulatory clearance to operate in the United States.

Traders Bet on Earnings and Fed Decisions as Polymarket Expands

Polymarket users are already placing wagers on companies such as FedEx and crypto exchange Bullish. One market asks whether Bullish will beat its quarterly earnings per share estimate. At the moment, traders give the company just over a 50% chance of doing so, ahead of its report on September 17.

While corporate earnings are new, Polymarket’s existing markets remain highly active. The question of whether the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates this month has drawn more than $139 million in trading, with most participants betting on a 25-basis-point cut.

Polymarket says prediction markets are not just about betting but about clarifying uncertainty. In a recent statement, Polymarket’s Chief Marketing Officer Matthew Modabber highlighted how prediction markets can transform complex events into simple, tradable outcomes. 

For Stocktwits, the partnership adds a new dimension to its community. Founder Howard Lindzon said the move provides investors with a new way to interpret news and expectations, building on the discussions already happening on the platform.

Polymarket to Raise Funds as Rival Prediction Platforms Emerge

The company’s debut into the U.S. is only the beginning. Polymarket is reportedly preparing to raise fresh capital, with a possible valuation as high as $10 billion. With regulated access, new products, and strong investor interest, the platform aims to become a major player in prediction markets.

This comes as the prediction market is seeing increasing competition. Several other players are entering the field. Crypto.com, in partnership with Underdog, has launched sports prediction markets across 16 U.S. states. At the same time, Coinbase is exploring its own version of a prediction platform.